Aline Soterroni

Interests and expertise

I am a Research Fellow at the Nature-based Solutions (NbSI) and Oxford Net Zero (ONZ) Initiatives. My research interests focus on scenarios modelling for environmental and climate policy evaluation, with a particular emphasis on Brazil. I have experience using regional economic land-use models to provide quantitative science-based results to Brazilian stakeholders and policymakers. As part of the NbSI and ONZ, I am interested in understanding the synergies and trade-offs between net zero policies and biodiversity conservation, including the role of Nature-based Solutions in climate mitigation efforts. I am also interested in evaluating policies regarding ecosystem protection connected to forest-risk supply chain agreements.

Currently, I am advising Brazil’s Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation on generating technical inputs that can be used to update the country’s NDC and the net zero plan. I am part of a team of researchers working on the development of SINAPSE 2.0, a scenarios modelling platform for climate and environmental policy evaluation in Brazil.

Background

My background is Mathematics and I have a Master and a PhD in Applied Computing from Brazil’s National Institute for Space Research on unconstrained global optimization. I am an environmental scientist by training with experience in regional economic land use modeling for quantitative policy evaluation.

Media

Events

• ONZ Webinar: Assessing the potential impact of the EU deforestation regulation in Brazil – ONZ webinar
• ONZ Webinar: Net zero pathways for Brazil
• NbS Conference: The role of NbS in Brazil’s net zero pathways

Articles

• Eroding resilience of deforestation interventions – evidence from Brazil’s lost decade
• Nature-based solutions are key for meeting Brazil’s climate goals and supporting the economy
• Nature-based solutions are critical for putting Brazil on track towards net zero
• Impact of land tenure on deforestation control and forest restoration in Brazilian Amazonia
• Expanding the Soy Moratorium to Brazil’s Cerrado
• Future environmental and agricultural impacts of Brazil’s Forest Code

Interviews

• Sem Bolsonaro e respeitando acordos, desmatamento pode cair 89% e emissões de carbono, 73%
• What a new president in Brazil could mean for science
• O Brasil e sua jornada rumo ao net zero (O Estadão, 2023)
• Brasil deverá desmatar área equivalente a MG até 2050 (BBC News Brasil, 2023)
• Brasil pode reduzir emissões drasticamente com soluções baseadas na natureza, aponta estudo (o Eco, 2023)
• Estudo quer fim do desmatamento legal para zerar gases estufa no país (Agência Pública, 2023)
• Pergunte a um pesquisador: Qual o futuro da agricultura com e sem biodiversidade e os serviços ecossistêmicos no Brasil?
• Analysis: Bolsonaro election loss could cut Brazilian Amazon deforestation by 89% (Carbon Brief, 2022)